Picks & Analysis 4.25.22

Not a large slate of games today in the NBA or MLB, but still plenty of value to be found in these night games. After the weekend off and coming off of an 0-3 day on Friday, we look to bounce back here today and attack where we are finding out edges. A small reset and we are good to go and back with some plays.

April 25, 2022. 6:15pm CST

Free Picks
  • [MLB] Mets/Cardinals F5 U3.5 (-130) via Heritage

  • [NBA] Jazz +3 (-108) via Heritage

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers | 3 unit play

This is a play I absolutely love with the value we are getting. We are getting an Astros team that has really struggled to hit, but is looking to carry on momentum into this game tonight as they face a very favorable pitching matchup. The only thing we will be looking at is how these Astros hitters fair against Dunning and his current pitching form. In 2 out of his 3 starts, Dunning has allowed 2, 3, and 4 runs while only making it through 5 innings once. The Astros star hitters in Alvarez and Tucker have been struggling to get their bats going this season, however, in their career, they BOTH hit Dunning at .667 batting average which is a great spot to get them going after struggling a bit. The rest of the Astros line up that have faced Dunning in their career are averaging .229 against him. Now we take a look at what Dunning has done to begin the season and he has walked at least 2 each game and allowing a home run in 2 of 3. Dunning is allowing lefties a .333 batting average and righties a .310 which are both worrisome especially facing an Astros lineup that traditionally hits righties better than lefties. The books are favoring the Astros team total under here, but with the momentum they take into this game along with how Dunning is pitching, we are getting great value here at plus money.

Pick - Astros F5 TT O2.5 (+125) via Heritage
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