NBA Betting Strategy 11.16.22

Where do we even begin with today?! LOADS OF ACTION as there are numerous games with key injuries all across the NBA that it makes it a lot to keep up with and track, but we are up for the task as promised. With 10 games on the NBA slate tonight, we will be firing away 1 unit bets on 9 different spots when it's all said and done. That is a lot of volume which is why I will continue to stress that everything should be a 1 unit bet until further notice and we see how this strategy goes on a very heavy action day. All games are listed below so try to keep up as it may be a lot to take in.


 
Charlotte Hornets vs. Indiana Pacers

Morning line where Tyrese Haliburton was questionable was Pacers +2.5. Tyrese Haliburton announced IN - line moves to Pacers +1.5.

  • Pick - Hornets -1.5

  • Result - LOSS

  • Pacers come in and win outright 125 - 113. Seems as the market move was justified.

Orlando Magic vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Morning line where Paolo Banchero & Wendell Carter Jr. were questionable was Magic +6. Paolo Banchero and Wendell Carter Jr announced OUT - line moves to Magic +7.5.

  • Pick - Magic +7.5

  • Result - LOSS

  • Another one here where the market made the correct move as the Magic struggled the whole game and lose 126 - 108.

Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat

Morning line where Bam Adebayo, Fred VanVleet and Gary Trent Jr were questionable was Heat -1.5. Bam Adeabayo and Gary Trent Jr announced OUT. Fred VanVleet announced IN - line moves to Heat +3.

  • Pick - Heat +3

  • Result - LOSS

  • Line move was justified here as Raptors win and cover all numbers 112 - 104.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics

Morning line where Marcus Smart and Malcolm Brogdon where questionable was Celtics -2. Marcus Smart and Malcolm Brogdon announced OUT - line moves to -1.

  • Pick - Celtics -1

  • Result - WIN

  • Market over reaction here as Hawks eventually moved to favorites and Celtics win and cover any number 126 - 101.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Chicago Bulls

Morning line where Zion Williamson was questionable was Pelicans -4. Zion Williamson announced OUT - line moved from -3 to -1.5.

  • Pick - Pelicans -1.5

  • Result - WIN

  • Another over reaction to Zion being out of the lineup as the Pelicans win and cover all numbers 124 - 110.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

Morning line where Jrue Holiday and Donovan Mitchell were questionable was Bucks -4. Jrue Holiday announced OUT. Donovan Mitchell announced IN - line moves to Bucks -2.

  • Pick - Bucks -2

  • Result - WIN

  • Significant line move with the injury news caused an over reaction in the market here as the Bucks win and cover all numbers 113 - 98.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets

Morning line there were no key injuries and line was Mavericks -9. Luka Doncic announced OUT for rest - line moves to Mavericks -5.

  • Pick - Mavericks -5

  • Result - LOSS

  • Seems like Luka is the centerpiece for this team as the market had the drastic line move correct here and the Rockets win outright 101 - 92.

Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors

Morning line where Chris Paul was questionable was Suns -2. Chris Paul announced OUT - line moves from +1.5 to +2.

  • Pick - Suns +2

  • Result - WIN

  • Does not matter which number you were able to get the Suns at as the market was wrong on this one and the Suns win 130 - 119.

Denver Nuggets vs. New York Knicks

Morning line where Aaron Gordon was questionable was Nuggets -3.5 Aaron Gordon announced OUT - line moves to Nuggets -2.5

  • Pick - Nuggets -2.5

  • Result - LOSS

  • Without two key players here just wasn't enough for the Nuggets as they lose and Knicks win outright as underdogs 106 - 103.


With a numerous amount of key injuries that took place in today's NBA slate, we were busy and had a lot of action with such a large slate of games. A slightly disappointing day as we go 4-5 on the day but continue with a positive outlook as we had way more volume than we typically do and still made out almost even. Impressive stuff as we are using no other strategy rather than just waiting on injury news and waiting for the market to react so that we can pounce on the better number. We will continue to use this strategy to see how far it can take us as we are hitting 58% at the moment.


Season Record: 23 - 15 - 2

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